Campaign Update

CAMPAIGN UPDATE….Chris Suellentrop writes about the mood of the campaign teams in Slate:

Kerry will need to win clearly and convincingly at the ballot box in order to unseat Bush, and for what it’s worth, most reporters seem to think that he’s going to do it. The Kerry campaign staff is confident, and it appears to be genuine, rather than bluster.

….By Monday evening, reporters from news organizations that have colleagues traveling with Bush started saying that the Bush folks have clammed up, or that they seem unusually tight.

That seems about right. I still think it’s going to be pretty close, but I’m a conventional wisdom guy, and the conventional wisdom says that (a) high turnouts help Democrats and (b) undecided voters break for the challenger. Both of these things work in Kerry’s favor, and because of that I think he’ll win tonight.