Civil War in Iraq

CIVIL WAR IN IRAQ….Mohammed at Iraq the Model talks to his father:

Me: what kinds of challenges can make things worse?

Dad: Virtually anything…assassinating a leader, a fatwa, attack on a shrine like last time; we do not possess the institutions that can abolish the effects of severe sentimental reactions.

The American ambassador in Iraq talks to an LA Times reporter:

In remarks that were among the frankest and bleakest public assessments of the Iraqi situation by a high-level American official, U.S. Ambassador Zalmay Khalilzad said the “potential is there” for sectarian violence to become all-out civil war, but that Iraq for now had pulled back from that prospect after the wave of sectarian reprisals for the Feb. 22 bombing of a Shiite shrine in Samarra.

“If another incident (occurs), Iraq is really vulnerable to it at this time, in my judgment,” Khalilzad said.

So even diehard supporters of the American invasion agree: a single new incident could touch off full-scale civil war in Iraq. Got it.

Now, what are the odds there won’t be another incident?