I rather doubt that Saddam was really guiding the insurgency, so his capture probably won’t change that too much. But you never know: even if he isn’t the brains behind it, he’s certainly a symbol. At a minimum, there are a lot of people in Iraq who are breathing a sigh of relief that at least he won’t be returning, and that’s got to help.
I wonder if now we’ll figure out what the real story is on the WMD? I suspect not: his story is probably going to be that there never was any and we just weren’t willing to believe him. So it will stay a mystery for a while longer.
I’ll confess that I’m a little surprised that apparently we don’t know what we’re going to do with him. The only realistic choices at this point are an American military tribunal or turning him over to the Iraqis, and I suspect it will be the latter. But in either case, why is it that we didn’t figure this out months ago? Odd.