So WaPo’s Chris Cillizza is out with The Fix’s list of the 60 House seats most likely to flip (36 currently held by Rs, 24 by Ds), and you don’t have to agree with them all (I don’t) to see some of the big patterns. Republicans continue to squeeze blood from turnips in extinguishing southern white Democrats (particularly in North Carolina, a redistricting fiasco for Dems), and Democrats have a lot of very big opportunities in Illinois and California.
Of the 60, 15 are in what have generally been considered the main battleground states (CO, IA, NV, OH, FL, VA). So last-minute developments in the presidential race could matter a lot. And also watch out for very big buys in non-battleground states, particularly by the pro-Republican Super-PACs and 501(c)(4)s.
I know some of you are familiar with the individual races Cillizza discusses here, so if you have any particular insights, feel free to share them in the comment thread.