Two Early Trends

Well, the early numbers kind of pull in two directions.

On the one hand, Mitch McConnell was declared the winner in KY about five seconds after the polls closed, while VA–where even GOP candidate Ed Gillespie seemed to have despaired, has been labelled “too close to call.” If the Fox News leak showing a close race in NH is accurate, and this all reflects a national trend, it could be an evening that’s either disastrous for Democrats or on the brink of disaster.

On the other hand, the exit polls for GA show nearly dead-even Senate and gubernatorial races, with nobody over the 50% necessary to avoid a runoff. The African-American share of the vote is close to 30%, but both Nunn and Carter are winning just over a fourth of the white vote.

And in Florida, while exit polls are being held until all the polls close at 8:00, all the signs are very good for Charlie Christ.

So maybe the elections weren’t as “nationalized” as we thought.

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Ed Kilgore

Ed Kilgore is a political columnist for New York and managing editor at the Democratic Strategist website. He was a contributing writer at the Washington Monthly from January 2012 until November 2015, and was the principal contributor to the Political Animal blog.