James Wimberley


Lies, Damned Lies and Election Statistics

I was fair to Michelangelo in my Sistine Chapel post, but misrepresented the estimable Sam Wang. I wrote: Sam Wang gives Hillary Clinton a poll-based 70% probability  of becoming US President, if the election were held tomorrow .. That was wrong and I apologise. Wang’s poll-based estimate if the election were held tomorrow is 99%…. Read more »