Republicans in Trouble?

REPUBLICANS IN TROUBLE?…. Democrats are ahead by 14 percentage points in Gallup’s latest generic congressional poll. That’s good. It’s always better to be ahead than behind.

But the number itself is misleading. As near as I can tell, Democrats routinely poll about ten points better than Republicans in these polls early in the year, so their real lead right now is probably more like three or four points. If this holds up through the summer, it means that Dems are likely to hold onto their current majority and maybe even pick up a few seats. If it expands, the results might be even better. At the very least, though, it’s good news that Democrats are polling so well even though they control Congress and congressional approval ratings are in the toilet. Apparently voters aren’t blaming them for the gridlock.

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