WITH JUST ONE DAY TO GO…. On the eve of Election Day, four national pollsters have released their final surveys of the season. If there’s good news for the McCain campaign in these final results, it’s hiding well.
USA Today/Gallup: Obama leads McCain by 11, 53% to 42%, among likely voters. One of the key results that jumped out at me had to do with taxes: 48% of voters believe Obama will raise their taxes, but 50% believe McCain will do the same.
Susan Page, USA Today‘s Washington bureau chief, added, “One more historic tidbit from the survey: Obama’s favorable rating is 62% — the highest that any presidential candidate has registered in Gallup’s final pre-election polls going back to 1992.”
Pew Research Center: The final Pew poll gives Obama a seven-point lead, 49% to 42%, but then goes a step further and extrapolates from the remaining undecideds to arrive at a prediction: 52% to 46%. (Eric Kleefeld notes that this methodology got the result just right four years ago.)
CBS News: Obama leads McCain by 13, 54% to 41%. The report added, “More than nine in 10 of each candidate’s voters now say they have made up their minds about who to vote for and are not likely to change. Just seven percent of Obama voters and 8 percent of McCain voters say they still might change their minds.”
NBC News/Wall Street Journal: Obama leads McCain by eight, 51% to 43%. This tidbit struck me as interesting: “Voters are just as likely to identify with Sen. Obama’s background and values as they are with Sen. McCain’s, with the Democrat having made up substantial ground in this regard.”