TUESDAY’S CAMPAIGN ROUND-UP…. Today’s installment of campaign-related news items that wouldn’t necessarily generate a post of their own, but may be of interest to political observers:
* Nearly all of the prognosticators are making the same predictions about tonight, but Nate Silver notes five reasons Republicans may do even better than expected tonight. Of course, there are also five reasons Democrats might exceed expectations.
* Predicting the outcome of Alaska’s U.S. Senate race is pretty much impossible at this point, with a new Hays Research poll showing Joe Miller (R) in the lead with 27%, Scott McAdams (D) second at 26%, “another candidate you have to write in” at 25%, and a whole lot of undecided folks. Given the time it will take to consider the Lisa Murkowski write-in votes, I’ve heard rumors it could take weeks, if not months, to know the outcome of the contest.
* In Colorado’s U.S. Senate race, Ken Buck (R) is well known for his radicalism on domestic policy, but it’s worth noting that he’s also strikingly ignorant about foreign policy.
* In New York’s gubernatorial campaign, Carl Paladino (R) recently called former Gov. George Pataki (R) a “degenerate idiot.” Yesterday, Pataki endorsed Paladino anyway.
* By most measures, Republicans will take several dozen House seats currently held by Democrats. But are there any “red” House seats that might flip to “blue”? Eric Kleefeld notes the handful of possibilities.
* According to research conducted by the Pew Forum’s Project for Excellence in Journalism, the political candidate who received more media attention than any other is … Delaware’s Christine O’Donnell (R). In fact, O’Donnell had far more coverage than any other candidate running in 2010.
* And in the off chance you’re still not sure where to vote, here’s a handy tool to find your polling location.