Even if you aren’t a Californian grabbing that last chance to consume foie gras, I hope you are having a good mid-day repast. Here are some quick side dishes:

* Nate Silver unveils 2012 presidential forecasting model, says odds of Obama win currently just over 60%. There are many useful words of explanation and qualification.

* Amidst all the post-Wisconsin GOP triumphalism, Qunnipiac shows Obama up by 5% in VA, a state Mitt must win. Lead down a bit from last Q-poll of Old Dominion in March.

* Krugman notes that Estonia–austerity fans’ favorite country–not exactly booming.

* Oops! Romney pollster’s presentation of Mitt’s path to 270 electoral votes adds up to: 260.

* Ollie North’s stirring Memorial Day column might not be, well, exactly original.

And in non-political news:

* The case for raising Facebook minimum age to 21. Now that would mobilize younger Americans!

I’m about to help with my stepfather’s funeral home “viewing and visitation,” so Ryan will be stepping in for the rest of the day. Tomorrow’s the actual funeral, so I may be scarce here, but I’ll be back soon. Thanks again for all the prayers and condolences.

Ed Kilgore

Ed Kilgore is a political columnist for New York and managing editor at the Democratic Strategist website. He was a contributing writer at the Washington Monthly from January 2012 until November 2015, and was the principal contributor to the Political Animal blog.