Nate Silver runs down the numbers. Let me also link to this post. It cites a study (gated) of the 1932-2000 presidential elections by Richard Powell. The upshot:
Generally, parties do not derive significant electoral benefits in states selected to host the national convention or those in which they control the governorship.
Emphasis mine.
[Cross-posted at The Monkey Cage]
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John Sides is an associate professor of political science at George Washington University. More by John Sides
The Washington Monthly is nonprofit and reader-supported. Your tax-deductible gift pays for the reporting you just read.
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