So in a ritual that’s getting mighty old by now, not only the financial world, but the whole hep political world, will be hitting the refresh button on the Bureau of Labor Statistics site at precisely 8:30 AM EDT, for the penultimate Monthly Jobs Report of this election cycle. Reactions will hit Twitter right away, with more extensive reactions hitting the MSM at 9:00 or so.

Net job growth predictions are coming in at around 115,000, that tepid level that probably doesn’t effect the political dynamics much, with the official unemployment rate possibly going up slightly for technical reasons. Gallup, which has its own unemployment measurement that’s similar, but not identical, to that of the feds has actually shown unemployment dropping to 7.9% in September. If that were to be echoed in the BLS numbers, it would break a significant psychological barrier, if not meaning a lot in itself.

Ed Kilgore

Ed Kilgore is a political columnist for New York and managing editor at the Democratic Strategist website. He was a contributing writer at the Washington Monthly from January 2012 until November 2015, and was the principal contributor to the Political Animal blog.