As the Christie saga rolls on, there’s been a lot of speculation about how BridgeGate affects his presidential aspirations for 2016. The general consensus is that while it’s far too early to say he’s out, he’s certainly down.

My TPMCafe column this week puts the question a little differently. The dominant idea behind “Christie ’16” has been that a party with the GOP’s deep level of unpopularity can’t pass up the chance to nominate a man as electable as the governor, even if he’s a tad treasonous on guns or Shariah Law or Obamacare. No matter what ultimately happens with Bridgegate, Christie’s standing has taken enough of a hit that he no longer represents what the Church calls “the glamour of evil”–you know, the temptation to make electability the only litmus test that matters.

If so, what does the Republican Establishment that’s invested so much capital in Christie do next? Check out the column for some answers.

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Ed Kilgore is a political columnist for New York and managing editor at the Democratic Strategist website. He was a contributing writer at the Washington Monthly from January 2012 until November 2015, and was the principal contributor to the Political Animal blog.