The “Religion Gap” Among Democrats

There’s a big, meaty new Pew survey out today entitled “Contrasting Partisan Perceptions on Campaign 2016” that we’ll all want to read in some detail, maybe over the weekend. But two things jump off the page.

First (h/t David Frum), in the straight presidential preference poll, Jeb Bush is down to 4%. These are the kind of numbers that started popping up for Scott Walker last month. If Jeb’s big ad buys don’t start to turn things around soon, there’s no particular reason to think he can survive.

Second (h/t Sarah Posner), and perhaps a bit more surprising, among Democrats those who attend religious services weekly prefer Hillary Clinton to Bernie Sanders 50 to 7. Among those who attend fewer if any religious services, it’s a much closer 42/31 Clinton advantage. This “religion gap” probably has something to do with HRC’s strength among minority voters, but whatever it’s about, it’s much bigger than anything we see on the Republican side.

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Ed Kilgore

Ed Kilgore is a political columnist for New York and managing editor at the Democratic Strategist website. He was a contributing writer at the Washington Monthly from January 2012 until November 2015, and was the principal contributor to the Political Animal blog.