As you may have noticed, the signals were strong enough this morning that I felt confident in echoing predictions that Paul Ryan would bend to the inevitable and announce he’s accept the House Speakership by supper-time.

But now there’s chaos within the chaos. Darrell Issa said he’d talked to Ryan and figured everybody’s favorite Speaker would go home to Wisconsin this weekend and “think it over” before accepting. On the other hand NBC News is reporting Ryan’s office as saying nothing has changed and he’s just not interested in the gig

Nobody, not even Politico, seems to know what’s really going to happen in the next five minutes, much less the next five days or weeks.

I don’t know exactly what the equivalent of a Sherman Statement would be in this case, sufficient to keep people from hounding Ryan into submission. Maybe something like: “If handed the gavel, I’ll drop it.” Best I can tell, nobody much in the GOP wants to explore Plan B just now.

Ed Kilgore

Ed Kilgore is a political columnist for New York and managing editor at the Democratic Strategist website. He was a contributing writer at the Washington Monthly from January 2012 until November 2015, and was the principal contributor to the Political Animal blog.