* As the Trump campaign implodes, a lot of people are wondering whether or not the House is in play for the Democrats. Here is a sign that it might be:
Reuters/Ipsos Generic Ballot (change from last week):
Democrats 46 (+4)
Republicans 36 (-2)
This is what nominating Donald Trump leads to.
— Josh Jordan (@NumbersMuncher) October 12, 2016
* Martin wrote about Paul Ryan’s speakership earlier today. One Republican member of the Freedom Caucus has already weighed in.
Given the stakes of this election, if Paul Ryan isn’t for Trump, then I’m not for Paul Ryan.
— Jim Bridenstine (@RepJBridenstine) October 12, 2016
* Sirin Kale consulted with a body language expert about the way Trump stalked behind Clinton at last Sunday’s debate.
“Crowding someone’s space, or lurking, is commonly used by bullies as a tactic to make someone cower and feel defensive,” explains body language expert Robin Kermode. “As Clinton’s speaking he’s moving around in the background, pulling the audience’s focus away from her.”…
When asked to sum up Trump’s approach in one word, Kermode responds with two: “Playground bully. Really, it’s classic schoolboy bully stuff.”
* While almost all of the election coverage has focused on Donald Trump lately, L.V. Anderson makes an important point about Hillary Clinton.
Yes, I’m familiar with all the arguments against Hillary as inspirer-in-chief. She’s part of the establishment. She’s laden with potential conflicts of interest. Her judgment during the whole email thing was poor. She seems, to many observers, wooden and robotic. Fine. The fact remains that Hillary stood onstage and calmly and persuasively made the case for her candidacy while her looming, lurching, lunatic opponent attempted to humiliate her in front of the entire world. If Hillary can do that, then the rest of us can do whatever we put our minds to.
Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton’s proposed expansion of the Child Tax Credit would benefit roughly 14.2 million working families, we estimate based on Census data. It would lift about 1.5 million people (including about 400,000 children under age 5) above the poverty line and lift another 9.4 million people (including about 1.9 million children under age 5) closer to the poverty line.
It also would increase the incomes of about 5.2 million people, including about 1.1 million children under age 5, living in deep poverty, with incomes below half of the poverty line.
* I see an awful lot of parallels between what happened recently with marriage equality and what is beginning to happen with marijuana legalization. First of all, here is the latest from Pew Research:
The share of Americans who favor legalizing the use of marijuana continues to increase. Today, 57% of U.S. adults say the use of marijuana should be made legal, while 37% say it should be illegal. A decade ago, opinion on legalizing marijuana was nearly the reverse – just 32% favored legalization, while 60% were opposed.
* Secondly comes this from Russell Berman:
Recreational marijuana users can now legally light up a joint in states representing about 5 percent of the U.S. population. By the time Americans wake up on November 9, that percentage could be swelling to more than one-quarter.
Measures to legalize and regulate the sale of cannabis are on the ballot in California, Arizona, Massachusetts, Maine, and Nevada, and recent polls show the “yes” vote is winning in all five states. Approval would mark the biggest advance yet for advocates in the decades-long fight over legalizing marijuana—one that they believe could ultimately force the federal government to end its prohibition of the drug.
* Finally, here is a great video from the Clinton campaign that features one of her biggest assets.