Iāve probably mentioned before that I donāt consume much right-wing news, even for research purposes. The stuff makes me ill and life is too short. Every once in a while, though, someone points me to something interesting, and that was certainly the case with the transcript from yesterdayās Rush Limbaugh Show. If you enjoy schadenfreude, you might want to check it out. Itās also just kind of hilarious.
Now, even though Iām not a regular consumer, I know Limbaughās schtick, which means that I know heās pulling a long con on his listeners and we shouldnāt approach what he says at face value. Thatās a not very brief way of saying that I give Limbaugh credit for being smarter and savvier than he lets on.
I donāt think Limbaugh is honestly confused about why Donald Trump canāt get anything done. Itās more of a pose that he takes to put himself in the shoes of folks who voted for the man thinking that he could fulfill his promises so fast all our heads would spin.
Still, Limbaugh throws a lot of truth in with distortions. For example, heās right when he says that the Washington Establishment doesnāt like Trump and that even most of the Republicans there didnāt think he should be our president. Heās right that there is a lot of resistance to Trumpās policies coming from Washington Republicans. Heās right that K Street has a lot of influence and even writes much of the legislation that Congress produces.
Hereās what he isnāt telling his listeners.
Trump is failing because of math.
For Trump to succeed at all (and I think the boat left port already), he would need to govern as neither a Republican nor a Democrat, and certainly not as a factional movement conservative Republican. All presidents lose votes from their own party on certain tough votes, but that can be survived if either your majorities are big enough or you can consistently pick up a few votes from across the aisle. Trumpās majority in the House is healthy, at least on paper, but his majority in the Senate is razor thin.
He knew this would be the case on Election Night but he didnāt understand what it meant. You want to know why heās calling for the end of the legislative filibuster today? Itās because reality has now smacked him in the face enough times that he realizes much too late that he canāt govern the way heās been trying to govern.
Sure, his style doesnāt help. His appointments donāt help. The record he laid down during the primaries and the campaign doesnāt help. And, yeah, Washington doesnāt like him.
But itās a still a math problem.
And Rush canāt tell his audience that because the conclusion would be that the way for Trump to be more successful is to stop trying to lead a Movement Conservative revolution and begin cutting deals with the people Rush and his listeners hate with a seething passion.
Now, some of this is even simpler. Trump said a bunch of shit on the campaign trail that he never thought heād get held accountable for because he didnāt really consider the possibility he might win. That some people took him seriously is a shame, but, cāmon, there was never a chance that Mexico would pay for his stupid wall. In other areas, itās easy to promise to do stuff that would violate the Constitution, but a bit harder to get courts to allow those things once you try to follow through.
I can be a little forgiving that folks might not have anticipated how the need to keep the government open and operating might prevent Trump from destroying Planned Parenthood or defunding āsanctuary cities.ā The writing wasnāt necessarily on the wall that Trump would have to fund Obamacare and the Environmental Protection Agency. But to hear Limbaugh react with his wailing, āWhy is anybody voting Republican, if this is what happens when we win?ā is extremely satisfying nonetheless.


