While Democrats are on track to win the House popular vote by eight points, that partisan tilt alone isn’t enough to carry the Senate.
2026 Midterm Elections
Posted inPolitics
Kansas? Montana? Mississippi? Where Will the Blue Wave Crest?
Democrats have reason to spend in states that seemed impossible to win just two months ago.
Posted inPolitics
Is It True That If You’re Explaining, You’re Losing?
Senate candidates Abdul El-Sayed and James Talarico have taken opposite approaches to fending off Republican attacks.
Posted inPolitics
Trump’s Midterm Rally Blitz Probably Won’t Work
The track record of presidents who hit the campaign trail in midterm election years is poor, especially when their job approval is underwater.
Posted inPolitics
Why You Should Believe the Polls This Time
History tells us Trump’s abysmal job approval and economic record should lead to healthy Democratic gains. The polls are telling us we don’t know how big.
Posted inPodcast
Why Political Polling Seems So Unreliable
Veteran pollster Stefan Hankin points to several factors wrecking polling’s reputation.
Posted inPolitics
The Republican Plan to Buy the Election Got Too Expensive
New data shows the GOP’s money advantage has narrowed because it relies too heavily on super PACs, which pay more for broadcast ads.
Posted inPolitics
This Is the Biggest Reason Why a Blue Wave Is Probably Coming
Nothing makes voters angrier at the party in power than having less money in their pockets, and real disposable income is down.
Posted inPolitics
I’m a DNC Committee Member. The Party Isn’t Broken
The recent meeting was a success despite the naysayers.
Posted inPolitics
The Scarlet Letter Midterms
Every Republican incumbent voted with Trump more than 95 percent of the time. Make them pay for giving him an “A.”
