Democratic primaries

The credibility of polling took a massive hit this month, as polling averages were off the mark by double-digits in Michigan’s Democratic Senate primary and Wisconsin’s Democratic gubernatorial primary.

Politics

Should We Ever Trust Polls Again?

by Bill Scher August 14, 2026August 14, 2026

After the Wisconsin gubernatorial primary and Michigan Senate primary, we need to remind ourselves that polls are snapshots of public opinion at best, not firm predictions.

Public Policy Polling’s surveys have repeatedly come close to the results of 2026 Democratic primaries, even as other polls badly missed.

Politics

One Internal Pollster Saw the Primary Results Coming

by The Editors August 12, 2026August 12, 2026

Trust the Polls and Polling? Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial candidate Francesca Hong talks as her opponent David Crowley listens during a primary debate in Milwaukee, Tuesday, July 28, 2026.

Politics

Internal Polls Flopped in Michigan and Hawaii. How Will They Do in Minnesota and Wisconsin?

by Bill Scher August 11, 2026August 11, 2026

U.S. Senate Democratic primary candidates Abdul El-Sayed and Rep. Haley Stevens debate on July 27, 2026, in Southfield, Michigan.

Politics

How Left Will Democrats Go In 2028? That Depends on 2026

by Bill Scher July 31, 2026August 10, 2026

Politics

The Internet Is Bigger Than Hasan Piker

by Bill Scher April 7, 2026April 7, 2026

Janet Mills and Graham Platner, rivals in Maine’s Democratic Senate primary.

Politics

What Maine’s U.S. Senate Primary Tells Us About the Democratic Party

by Bill Scher December 12, 2025December 11, 2025

Main, Political Animal

The Myth of a Civil War in the Democratic Party

by Nancy LeTourneau May 29, 2018January 9, 2022

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