After the Wisconsin gubernatorial primary and Michigan Senate primary, we need to remind ourselves that polls are snapshots of public opinion at best, not firm predictions.
Democratic primaries
Posted inPolitics
One Internal Pollster Saw the Primary Results Coming
Candidate-backed surveys have helped warp perceptions of Democratic primaries. Public Policy Polling’s numbers, however, have repeatedly tracked the actual results.
Posted inPolitics
Internal Polls Flopped in Michigan and Hawaii. How Will They Do in Minnesota and Wisconsin?
Pollsters affiliated with Abdul El-Sayed’s campaign wrongly projected a landslide victory. Now internals from Peggy Flanagan and David Crowley face an acid test.
Posted inPolitics
How Left Will Democrats Go In 2028? That Depends on 2026
Democratic voters, long partial to candidates who show a capacity for bipartisan compromise over ideological purity, may be changing.
Posted inPolitics
The Internet Is Bigger Than Hasan Piker
Democrats should go on challenging shows—but no one should be pressured to prove their populist bona fides on a streamer who may cost them more voters than he delivers.
Posted inPolitics
What Maine’s U.S. Senate Primary Tells Us About the Democratic Party
A massive generational divide is central to the competitive race between an incumbent governor and an oyster farmer.
Posted inMain, Political Animal
The Myth of a Civil War in the Democratic Party
The media keeps hyping up the story that Democrats are divided. But that’s not how the 2018 primaries have played out.
