Haley Stevens

Trust the Polls and Polling? Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial candidate Francesca Hong talks as her opponent David Crowley listens during a primary debate in Milwaukee, Tuesday, July 28, 2026.

Politics

Internal Polls Flopped in Michigan and Hawaii. How Will They Do in Minnesota and Wisconsin?

by Bill Scher August 11, 2026August 11, 2026

Pollsters affiliated with Abdul El-Sayed’s campaign wrongly projected a landslide victory. Now internals from Peggy Flanagan and David Crowley face an acid test.

A dearth of high-quality publicly available polling means campaigns and their allies can release lesser surveys to shape their raves. Here, Michigan U.S. Senate candidates, Abdul El-Sayed, left, and Rep. Haley Stevens, D-Mich., are displayed on a television during their debate on Tuesday, July 7, 2026, in Grand Rapids, Mich.

Politics

The Platner Collapse Is a Cautionary Tale About Polling

by Bill Scher July 10, 2026July 23, 2026

Abdul El-Sayed, Mallory McMorrow, and Haley Stevens are battling for Michigan’s Democratic Senate nomination, but the bruising fight may be helping Republican Mike Rogers most.

Politics

Michigan’s Democratic Senate Primary Needs a Non-Aggression Pact

by Bill Scher May 15, 2026May 14, 2026

The Middle East comes to the Midwest: the Michigan Senate primary has become a fight over Israel and Hamas.

Politics

So What If the Democrats Are Divided on the Middle East? Embrace It

by Bill Scher May 8, 2026May 8, 2026

Politics

Hold Mallory McMorrow’s Social Media Posts to the Same Standard as Graham Platner’s

by Bill Scher May 1, 2026May 1, 2026

Politics

The Internet Is Bigger Than Hasan Piker

by Bill Scher April 7, 2026April 7, 2026

Can Democrats take the Senate in 2026? A state-by-state look at primaries, electability fights, and the path to a majority.

Politics

What Will It Take for Democrats to Take the Senate?

by Bill Scher February 13, 2026February 15, 2026

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