Plus, voices from Lebanon on the latest outbreak of violence, and the political import of the vice-presidential debate, all in the October 3, 2024 newsletter.
Rust Belt
It’s the Respect (and Good Policies), Stupid
Growing gaps in economic opportunity between successful urban regions and less successful industrial and rural hinterlands is a well-known problem. Such inequality fuels the fires of the polarizing populism and anti-democratic politics in the U.S. and Europe. The underlying cause of heartland voters’ alienation, unease, and resentment, as we’ve demonstrated elsewhere, is the real and perceived loss […]
Why Trump Has a Serious Chance of Winning. Really.
Here’s the evidence that Joe Biden isn’t doing that much better than Hillary Clinton.
Democrats Can Win in Both the Rust Belt and the Sun Belt
Here’s why all of the hand-wringing about the latest NYT-Siena poll is misguided.
Trump’s Answer to Losing the Rust Belt: Minnesota
If he loses Wisconsin, he doesn’t have a prayer of winning the Gopher State.
Is Joe Biden Winning Back Obama/Trump Voters or Not?
Some reporting says Biden is beating Trump in the Rust Belt, while other reporting says Trump is holding onto his base.
Rust Belt vs. Sun Belt Is a False Choice for Democrats
They need to think outside the box as the parties continue to realign.
Why the Midwest Can’t Catch a Break
Beyond de-industrialization and consolidation, GOP politicians have dismantled the public infrastructure of the heartland.
Trumpism and the New Economy
What Washington needs to understand about the larger forces at work.

