LEBANON UPDATE….Abu Aardvark, after noting the “seemingly endless parade of death and suffering for Arab journalists,” muses about how the Cedar Revolution is playing out in Lebanon:
The political process seems to be reverting back to old habits, with the elections playing out according to the iron logic of the confessionally-structured electoral system. The “cedar revolutionaries” are disappointed, voter turnout was exceedingly low, the old warlords like Jumblatt are playing to form and building tactical alliances, and provocateurs (Syrian and otherwise) are keeping everyone on knife’s edge. As much as I may have wanted the optimists to be right ? that Lebanon post-Hariri, post-Syria was radically new ? I fear the pessimists may have been more on target. We’ll see.