THE LATEST ON IRAN….Joseph Cirincione:
For months, I have told interviewers that no senior political or military official was seriously considering a military attack on Iran. In the last few weeks, I have changed my view. In part, this shift was triggered by colleagues with close ties to the Pentagon and the executive branch who have convinced me that some senior officials have already made up their minds: They want to hit Iran.
Apparently senior sources in Britain have been getting the same message. From the Telegraph:
It is believed that an American-led attack, designed to destroy Iran’s ability to develop a nuclear bomb, is “inevitable” if Teheran’s leaders fail to comply with United Nations demands to freeze their uranium enrichment programme.
….A senior Foreign Office source said….”If Iran makes another strategic mistake, such as ignoring demands by the UN or future resolutions, then the thinking among the chiefs is that military action could be taken to bring an end to the crisis. The belief in some areas of Whitehall is that an attack is now all but inevitable.”
There’s no question that the administration is already preparing the ground for an air strike on Iran, but it’s likely that the real push won’t come until late summer when it can be used as a cudgel in the midterm elections. Same song, new verse.
And once more: If Democrats don’t start thinking about how they’re going to respond to this, they’re idiots. We don’t always get to pick the issues to run on. Sometimes they’re picked for us.