IRAN WAR WATCH….Does the retirement of CENTCOM commander Adm. William Fallon make war with Iran more likely? My own guess is no: his forced resignation had more to do with Iraq than Iran, and in any case, last year’s Iran NIE effectively took military action off the table. Short of some kind of massive provocation, we’ll probably exit the Bush/Cheney years without a third war on our hands.
For more, see Bill Arkin’s “Six Signs the U.S. Is Not Headed for War in Iran.” And for yet more, see Cheryl Rofer on the news that we’ve been engaged in serious “Track II” diplomacy with Iran for the past five years, leading to a proposal in the current issue of the New York Review of Books to “internationalize” the enrichment facility at Natanz. It may or may not go anywhere, but it’s worth checking out.