WaPo hasn’t called it yet, but Fox and now NBC have: Terry McAuliffe has beaten Ken Cuccinelli for the Virginia governorship, breaking a streak going back to 1973 wherein the party controlling the White House has lost this contest.

The final margin will be closer than most of the late polls, but the bottom line is that McAuliffe hit his marks in NoVa, metro Richmond, and the Tidewater in order to overcome a better than expected Cooch performance in SW, Southside and Shenandoah Valley. The turnout patterns aren’t entirely clear yet, but the exit polls showed the white percentage of the vote dropping from 78% to 72% since 2009, with a small but significant upturn in voting by under-30s as well.

While the exits, as expected, showed T-Mac reversing Bob McDonnell’s 2009 win among women, McAuliffe actually made greater gains among men.

Given the two candidates, you’d be justified in asking women voting either way this question from Joe Jackson:

Ed Kilgore

Ed Kilgore is a political columnist for New York and managing editor at the Democratic Strategist website. He was a contributing writer at the Washington Monthly from January 2012 until November 2015, and was the principal contributor to the Political Animal blog.