In trying to figure out something to write a TPMCafe column about in the wee hours of the night, it finally occurred to me that I’d written and/or read dozens, maybe hundreds, of pieces about Senate races this year, but very little about gubernatorial contests as a whole. So I wrote up a basic backgrounder on the 36 races this November, noting among other things the relatively small overlap with nationally targeted Senate and state legislative races (Arkansas and Colorado being an exception).

There are a lot of close gubernatorial races out there (Cook Political Report‘s Jennifer Duffy rates ten of them as toss-ups), so you’d think if there was any genuine GOP “wave” underway we’d see it in these contests. More likely, the perception of a “wave” is mainly the product of a crazily pro-GOP Senate landscape.

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Ed Kilgore is a political columnist for New York and managing editor at the Democratic Strategist website. He was a contributing writer at the Washington Monthly from January 2012 until November 2015, and was the principal contributor to the Political Animal blog.