I’ve done a couple of posts speculated about Carly Fiorina’s strange but likely presidential campaign, mostly figuring she’s offering a hedge against the embarrassment of an all-male field running against Hillary Clinton, in exchange for genuine consideration for the second spot on the 2016 ticket.

But my guess is as good as yours, and probably not as good as Heather Digby Parton’s:

Fiorina won’t embarrass the party the way Michele Bachman did when she served water to all the male candidates during one of their debates. And nobody will ever be able to shame them the way Sarah Palin did … always. She is a more mature public figure with at least a modicum of gravitas. But in the end, her role in the campaign will be the same as theirs — a sideshow. That’s what Republican women candidates for president always are and she’s nothing if not a good team player.

And a role player, it would seem.

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Ed Kilgore is a political columnist for New York and managing editor at the Democratic Strategist website. He was a contributing writer at the Washington Monthly from January 2012 until November 2015, and was the principal contributor to the Political Animal blog.