So going into today’s Israeli elections the Zionist Union leader Isaac Herzog kept predicting an “upheaval” was coming. And clearly trying to panic Israeli right-wingers, Bibi Netanyahu talked the same way. I suspect that tactical convergence plus the notoriously shaky Israeli polls may have misled us foreigners. Just after polls closed, leaks started pouring out of exit polls showing Likud dead even with, or ahead of, Zionist Union, and the experts I trust are all telling us on Twitter that Bibi’s probably survived.
Exit polls show Likud fear campaign succeeded in pulling massive number for other parties of right, tied or one ahead of Labor
— Gershom Gorenberg (@GershomG) March 17, 2015
There’s still a chance some sort of “unity government” will emerge from the results, and putting together a coalition is always harder than it sounds. But any “upheaval” will have to be found deeper in the numbers.