We’ll have to wait and see what happens with the Ryan saga, but if he chooses to let the cup pass his lips it will be widely treated as another big victory for the “real conservatives” who presumably will have failed to promise Ryan they won’t give him any guff until the November 2016 elections. Erick Erickson among others has put down a marker calling Ryan a “dangerous choice” for conservatives. The Breitbartians have all but declared war on the Wisconsin congressman.

But whatever the impact on the House, the “rebellion” against RINO Establishment folk who don’t want to shut down the government or threaten a debt default to achieve conservative goals is being paralleled on the presidential campaign trail. Paul Ryan isn’t, after all, the only big Establishment figure asking conservatives to give them a break. There’s Marco Rubio, long considered the one presidential candidate (other than the departed Scott Walker) who can bridge the gap between conservative radicals and the rest of the party.

Here’s what right-wing columnist Kurt Schlicter says Rubio will have to do to get conservative support:

I would be supporting you today except for the amnesty thing. There are a lot of Republicans like me. Here’s how you win us back.

First, quit the denial. You supported amnesty … stop what you are about to say. You are about to say, “But it wasn’t amnesty,” and saying that is going to set me off like Carlo denying he set up Sonny set off Michael Corleone. It insults our intelligence….

Say this: “I wanted to try and find a compromise to solve the illegal immigration problem. I was too trusting of Chuck Schumer and the Democrats – a mistake I won’t make again – and I let myself become a salesman for what was essentially amnesty. I was wrong.”

Now that you have cleared the air about the past, you can move on to the future, because right now the old Immigration Trustmeter is in the red. Say this: “Here’s where I stand. Illegal immigration is wrong. Illegal aliens should go home. Period. I will never support allowing any illegal alien who didn’t honorably serve in our military to become a U.S. citizen unless he goes home and reapplies to immigrate the right way – by respecting our laws. The first thing we must do is secure the border with Mexico with a Gulf to Pacific wall. Not a virtual wall. A wall wall, with enough guards to end the flow of illegal aliens.”

In other words: Schlicter wants Rubio to crawl. This seems to be a recurring theme on the Right.

Ed Kilgore

Ed Kilgore is a political columnist for New York and managing editor at the Democratic Strategist website. He was a contributing writer at the Washington Monthly from January 2012 until November 2015, and was the principal contributor to the Political Animal blog.