There are tons of variables from COVID-19 to the Supreme Court to bad polling, still when you separate the signal from the noise, it looks like Trump is “burnt toast.”
Political Animal
Early Voting Spells Trouble for Republicans. Here’s Why.
What we know about early voting isn’t conclusive but it shows trends buoying Democrats
Louis DeJoy’s October Surprise
A ban on postal workers’ ability to co-sign absentee ballots could determine the election.
Independent Judiciary, RIP
With the Comey Barret vote, Republicans complete their hostile takeover of the Supreme Court
Trump Plans A Series of Saturday Night Massacres If He Wins
The president will move to a terrifying degree of autocracy if he wins. There is little left to stop him.
Republicans Do Not Expect Trump To Lose. That’s a Problem.
Base Republican voters have been in conflict with reality for some time now. Most major problems facing the country–be it climate change, systemic racism, opioid addiction, monopolization, healthcare costs, pandemics, gun violence, economic inequality and beyond–no longer lend themselves to conservative solutions. Maintaining allegiance to conservative ideas in the face of their obsolescence has required […]
The GOP Conspiracy Mentality Will Only Become More Dangerous When They Lose Power
One of the more remarkable developments of the last few years has been the conservative movement’s reliance on outlandish conspiracy theories even as they maintain control of most levers of governmental power. It’s deeply unusual in a modern democratic society, but much more typical in totalitarian developing countries. And it bodes very ill for what […]
A Trump Win Would Condemn Hundreds of Thousands to Die Needlessly from COVID
America is about to enter one of the darkest phases yet of the COVID-19 pandemic. U.S. coronavirus cases reached a record high yesterday for the second day in a row, topping 79,000 infections. Over 225,000 Americans and counting are dead from the virus. And things are going to get worse. As the days grow shorter […]
The Curse of The Trump Moneymen
Donald Trump chose a rogue’s gallery to raise money for the Republican National Committee including Michael Cohen, Louis DeJoy, and Elliott Broidy. Hush money. Overseas clients. Delaying the mail. What could go wrong?
We Always Knew Mitch McConnell Was Odd, But Now This?
The Senate Majority Leader appears to have significant bruises on his hands and he’s not offering any explanation.

