We don’t know the rate at which Republicans and Democrats will defect, how independents will break, or how early voting patterns will change
Independents
Democrats Need to Focus on Retaining Weak Democratic Voters
Trump has stronger support among loosely affiliated Democrats than among left-leaning independents.
Republicans Love Trump. Independents? Not So Much
Trump is historically unpopular, and it’s not just Democrats who dislike him.
Bloomberg Makes the Case for Clinton to Independents
In a regular election, he wouldn’t get a speaking slot. This is no regular election.

