* CNN’s Candy Crowley reports from Romney HQ in Boston: they’re playing jazz, not looking too happy. Candy says everybody understands Mitt’s got to win in nearly every close state.

* None of the top-of-the-hour presidential projections from CNN are any sort of surprise. Not willing to call the 2d CD of Maine yet; a small shred of hope for Mitt there.

* Adjusted exits from Florida gives Obama a 1% advantage. He’s up 2% in NH exits.

* And here’s the biggie: exits give Obama a 52/47 advantage in Pennsylvania, though no call yet. Mitt’s invasion looking like Lee’s: close, but no cigar. Weigel tweet: “Only 4 years til Republicans pretend they can win Pennsylvania again.”

* Mitt unsurprisingly up nationally in popular vote by 3%, and it will likely stay that way for a good while as southern states check in.

* Mitt telling reporters he’s proud no “infighting in his campaign,” unlike others. Comparison to McCain/Palin?

* Nobody on the tube is talking about it, but Bill Nelson is crushing Connie Mack (56/42 at present) in a Senate race that Republicans were bullish about early this year.

* Initial indication of early voting from Cuyahoga County shows Obama beating two-to-one margin he needed. So far Mitt not running much ahead of McCain in Cleveland suburbs.

* Georgia called for Romney. Someday my home state will turn back around, but not now. Mitt’s running a couple points ahead of McCain, disguising increasing non-white vote.

* Initial returns in Ohio Senate race–presumably showing early votes–show Sherrod Brown beating Josh Mandel about 3-2. Again, this was a race Republicans thought they might win at one point.

* National Review‘s Ramesh Ponnuru: “Sharp negative turn in the mood of conservatives on twitter.”

* Wave of Senate projections, including Angus King (no surprise) and the aforementioned Bill Nelson.

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Ed Kilgore is a political columnist for New York and managing editor at the Democratic Strategist website. He was a contributing writer at the Washington Monthly from January 2012 until November 2015, and was the principal contributor to the Political Animal blog.