Crunch Time

So the Senate races are being called one by one: Shaheen in NH, Peters in MI for Democrats, Cotton in AR for Republicans. Still looking good for Hagan, and despite close VA vote, reasonably clear Warner will win. Despite relatively sunny exits for Michelle Nunn, Harry Enten is looking at David Perdue’s raw vote in comparison to Saxby Chambliss’ in 2008, and thinks he’s on track to win without a runoff.

Kansas exit polls now out, and they indicate Pat Roberts being in reasonably good shape while Sam Brownback is perhaps in trouble. CO exits have Gardner with a small lead over Udall, and Hickenlooper similarly just ahead of Beauprez.

WI exits show dead-even governor’s race, which is good news for Dems after that late Marquette Law School poll showing Walker with a big lead.

But in races we’ve been watching for a while, potentially bad, bad news for Democrats: some analysts think Ed Gillespie is actually going to win VA SEN, and Charlie Crist is running out of places to catch up with Rick Scott, despite bullish beginning to the evening.

All in all, still a lot of close races.

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Ed Kilgore

Ed Kilgore is a political columnist for New York and managing editor at the Democratic Strategist website. He was a contributing writer at the Washington Monthly from January 2012 until November 2015, and was the principal contributor to the Political Animal blog.