All the buzz this morning in the chattering classes is about a new CNN/ORC poll that shows a bit of evidence for what the chattering classes have been asserting the last few months: Hillary Clinton’s favorability ratings are being affected by the chattering classes’ incessant talk about her “scandals.”
We’ll see how this plays out in the longer run. I would observe that she is still ahead of every GOP candidate in the CNN/ORC general election trial heats, and that overall the poll has a lot more bad news for Jeb Bush than for HRC. Another thing worth noting is that 21% of self-identified liberals currently have an unfavorable opinion of Hillary Clinton. That number could even increase during the Democratic nomination contest. But in a general election, most of them will come home, like those conservatives who never liked Mitt Romney until he won the nomination in 2012.
But the number that really jumped off the page for me in the CNN/ORC survey was the gender gap with respect to Republicans and Rand Paul. He’s currently attracting 13% of Republican men, and 2% of Republican women. Even taking into account the sample size and margin of error, that’s astonishing.
It’s never been any secret that young white men are heavily overrepresented in libertarian causes and campaigns. But you have to chuckle a bit at seeing so bro-centric a support base for a candidate who claims he is uniquely capable of expanding the GOP coalition.